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Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
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The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows little change in the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination. It’s Fred Thompson with 25% and Rudy Giuliani at 23%. The next level features Mitt Romney at 13% and John McCain at 10% while Mike Huckabee earns support from 6% of Likely Republican Primary Voters. (see recent daily numbers).

The Rasmussen Reports weekly analysis notes that the race for the GOP nomination is getting murkier and has no clear frontrunner. In South Carolina, Thompson continues to enjoy a modest lead over Giuliani while Romney has overtaken McCain for third place.

In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination. Hillary Clinton attracts 44% support followed by Barack Obama at 22% John Edwards is at 15%. No other candidate attracts more than 2% support from Likely Democratic Primary Voters (see recent daily numbers). Clinton also enjoys a double-digit lead for the first time in South Carolina.

The Rasmussen Reports weekly analysis of this race notes that Clinton is a far more serious frontrunner than Howard Dean was in 2004. However, the former First Lady’s nomination is not inevitable. Clinton made a rare campaign mistake last Friday by proposing that all children born in the United States should receive a $5,000 “Baby Bond.” Voters oppose this concept by a 2-to-1 margin and Larry Sabato believes Clinton may have handed the GOP a “powerful issue” for the fall campaign.

The Rasmussen Reports Election 2008 Presidential Tracking Poll is updated daily, Monday through Friday. Daily results are based upon a four day rolling average and new results are posted each day by noon Eastern.

Daily tracking results are from survey interviews conducted over four days ending last night. Each update includes approximately 750-800 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 600-650 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Rasmussen Reports provides a weekly analysis of both the Republican and Democratic race each Monday.

Each Monday, full week results are released based upon a seven-day rolling average. While the daily tracking result are useful for measuring quick reaction to events in the news, the full week results provide an effective means for evaluating longer-term trends.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Rasmussen Reports’ Election 2006 coverage has been praised for its accuracy and reliability. Michael Barone, Senior Writer for U.S. News & World Report and co-author of The Almanac of American Politics, mentions, “One clear lesson from the Republican victory of 2004 and the Democratic victory of 2006 is that the best place to look for polls that are spot on is RasmussenReports.com." And University of Virginia Professor Larry Sabato states, “In election campaigns, I’ve learned to look for the Rasmussen results. In my experience, they are right on the money. There is no question Rasmussen produces some of the most accurate and reliable polls in the country today.”

Rasmussen Reports was also the nation's most accurate polling firm during the 2004 Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

During both Election 2004 and Election 2006, RasmussenReports.com was the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

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