THE
POLLSTERS |
Dr.
David Hill |
Teeter saw politics change
Just as those of us in the Republican political
community were adjusting to the loss of Ronald Reagan, another tragedy
struck Monday with the death of our party’s most experienced
pollster and political strategist, Robert Teeter.
During his illustrious career, avid weekend sailor Bob Teeter successfully
navigated the turbulent waters of four key transitions in his professional
life. First, like many first-generation pollsters, he had to learn
the business from scratch. In Teeter’s case, he transitioned
to politics from the unlikely position of assistant football coach
at his alma mater, Albion College.
His second challenging transition grew out of changes in his Republican
Party. Most of his early clients were Midwestern good-government
moderates, men like Michigan’s George Romney and Ohio’s
James Rhodes. But as the party moved to the right and the Sunbelt,
Teeter made the transition, helping Nixon and Reagan while still
serving moderates like Gerald Ford and George Bush. (Had the GOP
power center not shifted south and west, Teeter might well have
exercised even more influence over Republican politics.)
Teeter also made the transition from pollster to campaign manager,
something truly unique. On Dec. 5, 1991, the first President Bush
announced that Teeter would serve as chairman of his re-election
campaign and its chief strategist. No pollster before or since has
held such a high position in any presidential campaign.
Perhaps the biggest transition faced by Teeter was in the nature
of political consulting itself. What was once a gentlemen’s
vocation became a street fighter’s during Teeter’s times.
This was obviously on his mind earlier this month on the occasion
of his receiving a lifetime achievement award from American University’s
Campaign Management Institute. Teeter’s illness prevented
him from traveling to Washington to receive the honor, so he had
longtime friend and fellow pollster Peter Hart read his prepared
remarks. Said Teeter:
“I had the great fortune of starting in the business in the
1960s when the smartest people wanted to be a part of political
campaigns and work in government. Our profession was in its infancy.
Watergate drove the smart people out and had a lasting negative
effect on the system. The press became more cynical, the candidates
became more synthetic, and the political consultants became consumed
with fame and fortune.”
Teeter became both famous and wealthy, but his success was never
cynical or synthetic.
Teeter’s contributions to the profession were innumerable.
He was one of the first pollsters to master the focus group, and
he pioneered the use of moment-to-moment polling systems to gauge
and graph reactions to televised debates. In setting up the polling
operation for Nixon’s 1972 re-election effort, Teeter established
a model of central control with decentralized field-work, spread
over several polling firms, that would survive for decades.
Teeter also excelled at going beyond the traditional cross-tab.
Not satisfied to think of voters in simple discrete categories of
party or age, he developed analytical categories based on lifestyle.
As Jim Pinkerton once said of Teeter, “He’s at his most
interesting when he’s sort of verbally riffing on an anecdote
about some hypothetical citizen, 48 years old, with three kids,
lives in the suburbs, wife works part time, worried about healthcare.
He has the visualization capacity for what life is like for the
average person.”
Perhaps Teeter’s excellence in visualizing “real life”
grew out of the fact that he lived it. Always the outsider, Teeter
never formally moved to Washington, even when managing Bush’s
1992 campaign. Helping his wife, Betsy, finish raising their two
children in Michigan was more important.
He also nourished his friendships with longtime political associates
such as John Deardourff and Doug Bailey and employees such as Mary
Lukens. His American University address confessed, “The things
that make me the proudest in my career are the people who have ended
up my best and oldest friends in the business.” That’s
the kind of insight that made Teeter a man whose advice was sought
far and wide.
Hill is director of Hill Research Consultants, a Texas-based
firm that has polled for Republican candidates and causes since
1988. |