THE
POLLSTERS |
Mark
Mellman |
Wholesale myth-making
Ronald Reagan deserves our respect and/or our admiration for his
service. But if we truly respect his legacy, we will confront it
honestly.
Since President Reagan’s death, the nation has been subjected
to wholesale myth-making. The myths have been created by professionals
at PR firms and in right-wing advocacy groups with clear-eyed political
objectives in mind.
Democrats have long had memories of FDR and JFK on which to draw.
Republicans could hardly invoke Hoover or Nixon. Lincoln was awfully
long ago. Republicans needed a hero.
In trying to create one, Republicans have rewritten history. To
read the coverage of the last few days, one would have assumed that
Reagan was one of the most popular presidents of all times. When
he served, he wasn’t.
After he was famously shot, Reagan’s approval rating soared
to 68 percent, but it was downhill from there. In 1982, his approval
rating averaged 43 percent, about where George W. Bush’s rating
now stands.
Bad economic news stuck to the so-called Teflon president —
Reagan ended the year with an approval rating of 41 percent after
he led his party to a devastating loss of 26 House seats. Voters
overwhelmingly disapproved of Reagan’s economic policies,
which had brought on a recession. In early 1983, Reagan’s
approval rating sunk to 35 percent, a low few other presidents have
seen. At that point, The New York Times concluded, “the
stench of failure hangs over Ronald Reagan’s White House.
The people know it judging by the polls.”
Even at the end of his presidency, almost half the public said he
bore all or most of the responsibility for the massive federal deficits
that plagued our economy until Bill Clinton and congressional Democrats
reversed Reagan’s dangerous policies.
The economy picked up just in time to rescue Reagan from defeat,
and he beat Walter Mondale soundly. But soon, Reagan was embroiled
in controversy again, this time for trading arms for U.S. hostages
in Iran. A majority of Americans concluded that the president was
covering up wrongdoing that was at least as serious as Watergate.
Reagan’s apology to the nation was hardly reassuring. “A
few months ago,” Reagan said, “I told the American people
that I did not trade arms for hostages. My heart and my best intentions
tell me that is true, but the facts and evidence tell me it is not.”
Imagine the firestorm had Clinton or Al Gore tried to suggest that
their intentions were truthful but their statements were not. Unlike
Bush, Reagan was at least able to admit a mistake.
But again, the Teflon was hardly adequate. As he was engulfed in
scandal, Reagan’s approval rating sunk. He lost 16 points
in less than two months, falling to 47 percent in December, the
most precipitous fall in approval Gallup had ever recorded.
On average, Reagan had a lower approval rating during his eight
years than did Clinton.
Today, Reagan is very popular in retrospect. But Americans do not
endorse efforts by the PR pros to rename everything in Reagan’s
honor. ABC News polling indicates that people oppose putting Reagan
on the $10 bill, 54 to 36 percent. Even fewer (31 percent) want
him to replace Roosevelt on the dime.
The Teflon myth is that Americans always supported Reagan in spite
of disagreeing with his policies because they liked his optimism
and his winning personal manner. During much of his presidency,
the public did not support him. Reagan too felt the sting of failed
economic policy and scandal. Real events, real successes and real
failures still matter in politics.
Mellman is president of The Mellman Group and has worked for
Democratic candidates and causes since 1982, including Sen. John
Kerry (D-Mass.) this year. |