Florida Survey of 724 Likely Democratic Primary Voters
August 13, 2007

Election Polls 2008: Democratic Presidential Primary Contenders

Hillary Clinton

43%

Barack Obama

24%

John Edwards

11%

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Clinton Continues To Dominate Florida Primaries
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New York Senator Hillary Clinton leads Illinois Senator Barack Obama by nineteen percentage points in Florida’s Presidential Primary. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state found Clinton at 43%, Obama with 24% support, and Edwards the top choice for 11% of Likely Primary Voters. Six percent (6%) of voters prefer one of the other candidates while 16% are undecided.

A month ago, Clinton led 46% to 15%.

Clinton also leads all top Republican candidates in the general election race for Florida’s 27 Electoral College Votes.

The former First Lady’s formula in Florida is simple. Fifty percent (50%) of the women likely to vote in the Sunshine State Primary say they will vote for the only woman in the race. Obama manages just 18% of the female vote while Edwards reaches 12%. Among men, Obama and Clinton are virtually tied.

Obama leads among African-American voters and those under 30.

Eighty-one percent (81%) of Florida’s Primary Voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton. That includes 49% with a Very Favorable opinion. Just 18% have a negative opinion of the Senator from New York.

Obama is viewed favorably by 69%, unfavorably by 24%. Those figures include 32% with a Very Favorable opinion of the newcomer to the national scene.

For Edwards, the numbers are 65% favorable, 29% unfavorable.

Over the past week, Rasmussen Reports has released general election polling data for Ohio, Colorado, New Hampshire, Oregon, Arkansas, and Michigan.

Rasmussen Reports releases a daily Election 2008 Presidential Tracking Poll with new results posted each day by noon Eastern. A weekly analysis of both the Republican and Democratic race is released each Monday.

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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

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