Survey of 527 Likely Democratic Primary Voters
September 19-20, 2007

Election 2008: Florida Democratic Primary

Hillary Clinton

47%

Barack Obama

22%

John Edwards

11%

Some Other Candidate

4%

Not Sure

15%

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Election 2008: Florida Democratic Primary
Florida Primary: Clinton 47% Obama 22%
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New York Senator Hillary Clinton holds a twenty-five percentage point lead over Illinois Senator Barack Obama Florida’s Presidential Primary. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state found Clinton at 47%, Obama with 22% support, and Edwards the top choice for 11% of Likely Primary Voters. Four percent (4%) of voters prefer one of the other candidates while 15% are undecided. A month ago, Clinton led by nineteen points.

Clinton is viewed favorably by 86% of Democratic Primary voters, Obama by 67% and Edwards by 62%.

Florida’s Democratic Primary is the subject of controversy. In May, a state law set January 29 as the Primary date even though national committee rules said it could not be held before February 5. The Democratic National Committee then said that it will not allow Florida’s delegates to be part of the Party’s convention unless it abides by the rules. The national party leaders have also encouraged leading candidates to avoid campaigning in Florida. The Rasmussen Reports telephone survey found that only 67% of the Likely Primary Voters say they will show up if their vote doesn’t count.

Sixty-three percent (63%) of all voters in Florida believe that individual states should determine the dates of their Presidential primaries. Twenty-four percent (24%) believe the major political parties should decide. Among Democrats, 57% believe the states should set the date and 28% believe the rules should be set by the national party.

Twenty-one percent (21%) of Democrats and 23% of unaffiliated voters statewide said that the decision of leading candidates to skip the Florida primary might affect their voting decision in November 2008.

The survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations, Inc.

A month ago, Rasmussen Reports found Clinton leading all top Republican candidates in the general election race for Florida’s 27 Electoral College Votes.

Last week, new polling data showed Clinton continuing to hold a substantial lead in the New Hampshire Presidential Primary.

Rasmussen Reports releases a daily Election 2008 Presidential Tracking Poll with new results posted each day by noon Eastern. A weekly analysis of both the Republican and Democratic race is released each Monday.

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