Minnesota Survey of 500 Likely Voters
September 6, 2007

Rudy Giuliani (R) vs.
Hillary Clinton (D)

Rudy Giuliani (R)

37%

Hillary Clinton (D)

50%

Fred Thompson (R) vs.
Hillary Clinton (D)

Fred Thompson (R)

40%

Hillary Clinton (D)

51%

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Minnesota: 2008 Presidential Election
Clinton Leads GOP By Double Digits
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In Minnesota, Senator Hillary Clinton (D) holds double digit leads over each of the top three Republican Presidential candidates. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey found Clinton leading Fred Thompson by 11 (51% to 40%), Rudy Giuliani by 13 (50% to 37%), and Mitt Romney by 18 (52% to 34%).

Bill Clinton, the Democratic frontrunner’s husband, won the state’s 10 Electoral College votes twice by double digits in the 1990s.

In fact, Minnesota has voted for a Democratic Presidential candidate in eight straight elections. That’s a longer streak than any other state in the union because Minnesota was the only state to vote for Democrat Walter Mondale in Ronald Reagan's 1984 re-election landslide. Still, the Democratic margin has been shrinking in recent years. George W. Bush came within three points of John Kerry in the state during Election 2004 and he lost Minnesota to Al Gore by just two points in Election 2000.

In a pattern seen in many other states, Clinton does much better among women than men. In Minnesota, she leads the three Republicans among women by margins ranging from 23 to 27 percentage points. Among men, Thompson has a four-point edge over Clinton while the Democrat has a narrow lead over the other Republicans.

The Republicans get no help from the President. Just 33% of Minnesota voters give the President good or excellent marks for his performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) say he’s doing a poor job. Governor Tim Pawlenty (R) gets positive reviews from 49% of the state’s voters and the state government gets good marks for handling the bridge collapse and recent floods.

The U.S. Senate race in Minnesota looks to be more competitive as Norm Coleman (R) seeks his second term in a difficult political environment for the GOP.

Clinton is viewed favorably by 57% of Minnesota voters and unfavorably by 42%. The Senator from New York has a solid lead in the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination.

Giuliani is viewed favorably by 51% and unfavorably by 45%. The numbers for Thompson are 49% favorable, 42% unfavorable. Romney has the weakest numbers of the three—37% favorable and 51% unfavorable. Giuliani, Thompson, and Romney lead the GOP nomination contest.

The survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations, Inc.

Rasmussen Reports released polls today for the Presidential race in Virginia, Minnesota, and Massachusetts along with Senate race polls for Virginia and Minnesota.

Rasmussen Reports has also released Election 2008 state polling results in Pennsylvania, Missouri, Ohio, Florida, Arkansas, Wisconsin, Michigan, Oregon, Colorado, New Hampshire, New York and Illinois.

In Primary Polls, Clinton leads all Democrats in New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Florida.

The Republican Primary picture is more muddled. Romney leads in New Hampshire, Thompson leads in South Carolina, and Giuliani is on top in Florida.

See survey questions and top-line results. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

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