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Survey of 567 Likely Democratic Primary Voters
September 26-27, 2007

Election 2008: Florida Democratic Primary
Hillary Clinton	43%
Barack Obama	30%
John Edwards	10%
Some Other Candidate	17%
Not Sure	15%

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Election 2008: South Carolina Democratic Primary

South Carolina Democrats: Clinton 43% Obama 30%

Monday, October 01, 2007

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Hillary Clinton has a thirteen point advantage over Barack Obama in South Carolina’s Presidential Primary. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the race shows Clinton with 43% of the vote while Obama is the top choice for 30% of the state’s Likely Primary Voters. A month ago, it was Clinton 38% Obama 30%.

Currently, John Edwards is a distant third at 10%. Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, and Dennis Kucinich each earn 2% of the vote while 11% are not sure.

Forty-five percent (45%) say that Clinton is the candidate of change while 34% say that label applies to Obama.

Among black voters, Clinton and Obama are even while Edwards support is virtually non-existent. However, among white voters, the picture looks entirely different--Clinton earns 48% support, Edwards 19%, and Obama 14%.

Eighty-three percent (83%) say that Clinton is at least somewhat likely to win the general election if she first wins the Democratic nomination. Fifty-nine percent (59%) have that confidence in Obama and 45% say the same about Edwards. Those figures include 43% who say Clinton is Very Likely to win the White House if nominated. Only 25% say Obama is Very Likely to win. For Edwards, that number is 11%.

Eighty-three percent (83%) have a favorable opinion of Clinton. Seventy-six percent (76%) view Obama favorably and 65% offer a positive assessment of Edwards. Those figures are little changed from a month ago.

Sixty-three percent (63%) say that Clinton will do the best job reforming health care. Nineteen percent (19%) say that Obama will be best. Nationally, voters trust Democrats more than Republicans on health care. In fact, Democrats enjoy a bigger advantage on health care than on any other issue.

Although Clinton has now extended her lead in South Carolina to double digits, Obama is more competitive here than he is in New Hampshire, Florida, or the national polls.

The Republican Presidential Primary in South Carolina is even more competitive.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.

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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Rasmussen Reports’ Election 2006 coverage has been praised for its accuracy and reliability. Michael Barone, Senior Writer for U.S. News & World Report and co-author of The Almanac of American Politics, mentions, “One clear lesson from the Republican victory of 2004 and the Democratic victory of 2006 is that the best place to look for polls that are spot on is RasmussenReports.com." And University of Virginia Professor Larry Sabato states, “In election campaigns, I’ve learned to look for the Rasmussen results. In my experience, they are right on the money. There is no question Rasmussen produces some of the most accurate and reliable polls in the country today.”

Rasmussen Reports was also the nation's most accurate polling firm during the 2004 Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

During both Election 2004 and Election 2006, RasmussenReports.com was the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

This telephone survey of 567 Likely Democratic Primary Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on September 26-27, 2007. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

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