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Yahoo to announce AOL acquisition by July 2009?

David Kuan
Submitted by David Kuan09.26.2008
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Comments 23
Betting closes on Jun 30 2009
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Recently, Time Warner confirmed the intent to split AOL into 2 separate entities.  Now rumors are swirling that AOL's assets are up for grabs as word of Microsoft's involvement has surfaced.  

A Yahoo-AOL-Time Warner deal may be heating up, but Time Warner will have to split off AOL first before anything happens.  And, according to the Financial Times, "Time Warner is not expected to separate the two parts of the business until early in 2009."

PREDICT: Will there be an announcement from Yahoo with the intent to acquire AOL media and internet assets by end of June 2009? A joint venture with Yahoo as majority shareholder will also render a favorable judgment.

Let the community decide.  Place your bets below.

Current Community Consensus 27%
Place your bet

Prediction Statistics
Betting Closes:Jun 30 2009Current Consensus:26.89%Total Bets:75
Today's Change:
0%
Life Time High:83.20%
Life Time Low:23.15%
Price History

Comments

@TIS, nice graphics (AIM running man in a shopping cart)!

David Kuan
David Kuan Sep 28 2008 | 02:24AM #

The dance has begun... Stay with Olaf Olafsson of Time Warner, he is the architect. Don't be surprised if GOOG leaks interest and drives up price *if MSFT get pushy. In my opion, GOOG will not step in the way of Yahoo. You will only see a Google DORCIL FIN rise if, MSFT tries to push Yahoo out of the negotiations. This is when the fun starts >> and what GOOG and AOL secretly want. Everyone wins by default, and GOOG ends with a win-win. Olaf has personal history with these regimes. When it's high steaks, the real wizards communication with allies through their known instinctive behaviors; not the press. Don't use the media as primary source of intel: the only executive quotes you will see, are from those who have no idea what is truly happening.

This will be fun to watch unfold. much can be learned from these negotiations.

Another great one to track is the Wachovia + Well Fargo. Just about the only (and last) time I have ever found a better use of "the tail wagging the dog" term. I will boldly say Well's Fargo has this one... The greater force has taken over, and it's not he Govt.....

Ryan Peters
Ryan Peters Oct 07 2008 | 03:50PM #

sorry for the double...

Microsoft will cause GOOG to win by default -or- hopefully, Yahoo can show some moves and not get picked on for the win.

Ryan Peters
Ryan Peters Oct 07 2008 | 03:57PM #

I will be amazed if this transaction succeeds in the current market conditions in the next month or so. However, June 2009 is a long time away so does not mean that this transaction will not ultimately happen.

Marc Chiang
Marc Chiang Oct 09 2008 | 08:59PM #

Good Article Update:

http://legalpad.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2008/10/10/google-and-yahoo-fight-...

Microsoft feels the squeeze.. And is using psychology analogies, to express the situation they are in to the Feds.

Ryan Peters
Ryan Peters Oct 13 2008 | 09:25PM #

Blodget (the original source of the story) has recanted the story:

http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/10/aol-yahoo-merger-a-done-deal-says-so...

Deal's still in talks but is NOT imminent.

Bradley Baker
Bradley Baker Oct 14 2008 | 06:38PM #

Ouch!

David Kuan
David Kuan Oct 14 2008 | 06:56PM #

Yahoo's stock jumped today after Ballmer said a few kind words. +1.42 (12.09%)

Eric Hill
Eric Hill Oct 16 2008 | 07:08PM #

Darn Blogget :). With a date of June 2009, there is still plenty of time for this to happen although my bet $ may be frozen for a bit :(.

David Kuan
David Kuan Oct 16 2008 | 08:58PM #

http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2008/11/04/yahoo-bernstein-sees...

Deal not looking likely according to Bernstein analyst.

Marc Chiang
Marc Chiang Nov 10 2008 | 08:51PM #

@Marc, that Bernstein statement was made BEFORE Ballmer recent statement of no interest from Microsoft to acquire Yahoo. With Google deal gone bust and Microsoft disinterested, what's left on the table is AOL. acquisition to shore up revenue.

David Kuan
David Kuan Nov 10 2008 | 10:33PM #

Bernstein made the statement BEFORE Ballmer indicated Microsoft is not interested in acquiring Yahoo. With Google ad deal dumped and a disinterested Microsoft, all that is left on the table is for Yahoo to acquire AOL to improve revenue outlook. Don't count this out just yet ... still plenty of time until June 2009.

David Kuan
David Kuan Nov 10 2008 | 11:49PM #

I agree there is plenty of time before June and anything can happen because M&A is not always rationale anyways. Dare you to go all-in on this prediction.

Marc Chiang
Marc Chiang Nov 11 2008 | 06:19PM #

Any smart Yahoo investor will dump the stock 1/5/2009 at market open. Dump all shares of YHOO and let it tank.

Sorry but this company has decided to shut everyone out, the Board has breached its responsibilities to investors and the company by not naming an interim CEO due to Jerry Yang's quitting. It's time to send them a wakeup call.

Michael Murdock, CEO
http://www.docmurdock.com/yahoo.htm

Anonymous
Michael Murdock Jan 04 2009 | 10:24PM #

Will the appointment of the new CEO of Yahoo rekindle the Yahoo-AOL talks? According to the Silicon Alley Insider, the talks had reached a point where both sides assumed a done deal before Jerry decided to step down.

David Kuan
David Kuan Jan 13 2009 | 05:25PM #

I retract my previous and encourage Carol Bartz, the new CEO of Yahoo to purchase AOL/TIMEWARNER and then for Yahoo to do some other things with the company. She has my fax on this matter. I hope to see them close a deal for both AOL & TimeWarner since AOL BOUGHT TIME WARNER, not the other way around. So Yahoo should purchase the entire Entity. And should do it immediately.

Michael Murdock, CEO

Anonymous
Michael Murdock Jan 17 2009 | 07:52AM #

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