Highlights
Overview
Technical Background
The Threat
Securing Nuclear Warheads and Materials
Stabilizing Employment for Nuclear Personnel
Monitoring Stockpiles
Ending Further Production
Reducing Stockpiles

 

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Previous Publications

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Funding for U.S. Efforts to Improve Controls Over Nuclear Weapons, Materials, and Expertise OverseasFunding for U.S. Efforts to Improve Controls Over Nuclear Weapons, Materials, and Expertise Overseas: Recent Developments and Trends

February2007

Readthe Full Report (1.5M PDF)

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Securing the Bomb 2006Securing the Bomb 2006
The latest report in our series, from May 2006, finds that even though the gap between the threat of nuclear terrorism and the response has narrowed in recent years, there remains an unacceptable danger that terrorists might succeed in their quest to get and use a nuclear bomb, turning a modern city into a smoking ruin. Offering concrete steps to confront that danger, the report calls for world leaders to launch a fast-paced global coalition against nuclear terrorism focused on locking down all stockpiles of nuclear weapons and weapons-usable nuclear materials worldwide as rapidly as possible.
Read the Executive Summary (379K PDF)
or the Full Report (1.7M PDF)

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Securing the Bomb 2005Securing the Bomb 2005:
The New Global Imperatives

Our May 2005 report finds that while the United States and other countries laid important foundations for an accelerated effort to prevent nuclear terrorism in the last year, sustained presidential leadership will be needed to win the race to lock down the world’s nuclear stockpiles before terrorists and thieves can get to them.
Read the Executive Summary (281 K)
or the Full Report (1.9M PDF)

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Securing the Bomb: An Agenda for Action
Building on the previous years' reports, this 2004 NTI-commissioned report grades current efforts and recommends new actions to more effectively prevent nuclear terrorism. It finds that programs to reduce this danger are making progress, but there remains a potentially deadly gap between the urgency of the threat and the scope and pace of efforts to address it.
Download the Full Report (1.2 M PDF)
Выписки из доклада по-русски (423K PDF)

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Controlling Nuclear Warheads and Materials:
A Report Card and Action Plan

2003 report published by Harvard and NTI measures the progress made in keeping nuclear weapons and materials out of terrorist hands, and outlines a comprehensive plan to reduce the danger.
Download the Full Report (2.7M PDF)

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Securing Nuclear Weapons and Materials: Seven Steps for Immediate Action
2002 report co-published by Harvard and NTI outlines seven urgent steps to reduce the threat of stolen nuclear weapons or materials falling into the hands of terrorists or hostile states.
Read the Full Report (516K PDF)

Interdicting Nuclear Smuggling

WMD Proliferation Prevention Program

Status

For fiscal year (FY) 2003, the President submitted to the Congress a request for $40 million to begin a new WMD Proliferation Prevention program. When the proposal was announced in spring 2002, few people outside the government knew what the program was intended to accomplish. Only later did it become clear that this program was intended to improve the capabilities of Newly Independent States (NIS) of the Former Soviet Union other than Russia to "prevent, deter, detect and interdict illicit trafficking in WMD and related materials, and to respond effectively to trafficking incidents at the border."[1] Still, as late as July 2002, after the House and the Senate had initially approved the funding levels for the program and only a few months before the beginning of FY 2003, the Department of Defense (DOD) official responsible for the program reported to a Senate subcommittee that the exact plan for the program had yet to be developed.[2]

Defense Department officials believe that U.S. assistance efforts focused on interdicting WMD smuggling, including the new WMD Proliferation Prevention program, should focus on developing indigenous, sustainable capabilities among the target countries in areas such as

DOD officials cite two important reasons why their agency should continue to be part of the U.S. approach. First, in the recipient countries, the agencies responsible for border security are military or paramilitary organizations. They are organized along military lines, and uniformed and outfitted in at least a paramilitary fashion, making the U.S. Department of Defense their obvious counterpart.[4] Second, the Defense Department as an agency brings with it unparalleled expertise in securing open borders, through the use of "field reconnaissance, C3I [command, control, communications, and intelligence], placement and use of ground sensors, NBC [nuclear, biological, and chemical] defense, and small unit tactics."[5]

Program officials envision starting out with several prototype projects in FY 2003. As of July 2002, they are giving close consideration to projects in Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Azerbaijan, and Uzbekistan. The project in Kazakhstan will focus on the deployment of ground-based sensors along the wilderness border with Turkmenistan. Mobile response teams could be outfitted in the Ukraine. A proposed project in Azerbaijan would create a maritime surveillance radar system to detect and interdict smugglers on the Caspian Sea. Representatives from Uzbekistan have requested assistance in adding extra portal monitors at key border crossings in that country.[6]

Budget

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No money has yet been devoted to this program. As of August 2002, the House of Representatives and the Senate have both voiced initial approval to the President's proposed budget of $40 million for the WMD Proliferation Prevention program

Key Issues and Recommendations

Integrating with the International Counterproliferation program. As discussed in the page on the International Counterproliferation program, DOD officials have been working for over five years with the FBI and the U.S. Customs Service to train customs and law enforcement officials in the NIS and elsewhere. While the WMD Proliferation Prevention program represents an important contribution of additional financial resources and solutions for the vast areas between border checkpoints, the addition of the new program in a different office and with a separate funding line than the International Counterproliferation program presents challenges.

Coordinating with other security assistance efforts. Efforts under NATO's Partnership for Peace program and the FREEDOM Support Act program of assistance to the Newly Independent States (NIS) of the Former Soviet Union are working to assist military and border security forces in the NIS, the same target countries of the WMD Proliferation Prevention program. While these programs do not have a nuclear, or even a WMD, focus, they are working to improve the operational capabilities of military and paramilitary forces focused on securing their borders from inappropriate flows of people and goods of any kind.

Links

Key Resources
Lisa Bronson, Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Technology Security Policy and Counterproliferation, "Combating WMD Smuggling," Testimony before U.S. Senate Armed Services Committee's Subcommittee on Emerging Threats, July 30, 2002.
Download 50kb RTF
  Testimony by the Deputy Under Secretary of Defense responsible for the WMD Proliferation Prevention program (but not the International Counterproliferation program) at the Senate hearing prompted by the release of the May 2002 report. She was the lone DOD representative at the panel, even though she is not responsible for the International Counterproliferation program.
   
FOOTNOTES
[1] Lisa Bronson, Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Technology Security Policy and Counterproliferation, "Combating WMD Smuggling," Testimony before U.S. Senate Armed Services Committee’s Subcommittee on Emerging Threats, July 30, 2002.
[2] Lisa Bronson, "Combating WMD Smuggling," op. cit.
[3] Lisa Bronson, "Combating WMD Smuggling," op. cit.
[4] Interview by author with DOD officials, July 2002.
[5] Lisa Bronson, "Combating WMD Smuggling," op. cit.
[6] Lisa Bronson, "Combating WMD Smuggling," op. cit.



Written by Matthew Bunn.
Last updated by Anthony Wier on August 27, 2002.

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Belfer CenterThe Securing the Bomb section of the NTI website is produced by the Project on Managing the Atom (MTA) for NTI, and does not necessarily reflect the opinions of and has not been independently verified by NTI or its directors, officers, employees, agents. MTA welcomes comments and suggestions at atom@harvard.edu. Copyright 2007 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College.