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Islamic State's support infrastructure in Turkey raises risk of retaliation targeting Western diplomatic and commercial assets
Turkey's Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu, and his wife Sare, welcome Ozturk Yilmaz, a freed Turkish consul in Mosul, who was among other freed Turkish nationals held hostage by Islamist militants in northern Iraq for more than three months, on 20 September 2014 at the Esenboga Airport in Ankara. Source: PAIncreased US funding to Central America highlights changing security priorities over relocation of organised crime groups' operations
US president Barack Obama and Defence Secretary Chuck Hagel discuss the fiscal year 2016 budget at the White House, on 3 February. Source: PAIDF pulls its punches after Hizbullah retaliation for airstrike
An injured Israeli soldier receives medical treatment after the Hizbullah missile attack. Source: PA PhotosRisks of economic disruption and cyber-attacks from Russia rise in Baltic states throughout 2015, but military attack unlikely
Lithuanians watch the arrival of the country's first liquefied natural gas (LNG) storage vessel in Klaipeda, Lithuania, on 27 October 2014. Source: PA
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Carter, congressional defence heads to seek acquisition reform
Significance House and Senate armed services committee chairmen will make defence reform a top priority Ashton Carter, the presumptive next defence secretary, supports reform and possibly getting service chiefs more involved in acquisitions Some measure of acquisition reform appears likely as the
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Hijacking of tanker near Indonesia's Sulawesi island indicates expansion of fuel theft risk from Malay Peninsula
EVENT A tanker hijacked while carrying a cargo of 1,100 tonnes of diesel is still missing after more than a week. Hijackers boarded the vessel on 28 January and forced the crew off the ship. According to the inter-government body Regional Co-operation Agreement on Combating Piracy and Armed
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New parliamentary investigation on corruption scandal likely to increase government instability in Brazil
EVENT Brazil's lower chamber on 3 February approved a new parliamentary investigation commission (Comissão Parlamentar de Inquérito: CPI) into the Lava Jato (Car Wash) corruption scandal focused on state-owned oil company Petrobras. The company is being investigated for allegedly
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Peru's introduction of no-fly zone changes outlook for shootdown risks
EVENT The government of President Ollanta Humala announced on 4 February the introduction of a no-fly zone in the Valley of the Apurímac, Ene and Mantaro Rivers (VRAEM) region, an area known for its concentration of coca crops and where the remnants of Maoist insurgency Sendero Luminoso (SL)
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Security Alerts - 6-13 February
IHS Jane's Security Alerts provide a snapshot of political and security news likely to break in the week ahead. The impeachment of former Thai prime Minister, Yingluck Shinawatra last week increases the risk of retaliatory improvised explosive device (IED) and arson attacks against assets in
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The belligerent bear: Russia updates its military doctrine
Russia's new military doctrine differs from its 2010 predecessor mainly in tone and nuance but, highlighting growing security threats, it also suggests there will be no retreat from the country's military development programme. Dr Mark Galeotti reports -
Illegal deforestation surges in Brazilian Amazon
After nearly 10 years of continuous decline, deforestation in the Amazon region has risen considerably since 2013. Carlos Caicedo examines the reasons for this increase, the security risks, and the efforts made by the Brazilian government to contain the problem. -
The evolution of Greece's armed revolutionaries
In the shadow of one of Europe's most sustained terrorist problems, Greece is entering a new era of radical left-wing politics. George Kassimeris explores the threat facing the country's counter-terrorism agencies from the next generation of militant anarchists.
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Military Capabilities Military Capabilities
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Separatists claim first airstrike on Ukrainian forces
Russian-backed separatists in the east of Ukraine claim to have conducted their first airstrikes against government forces. The claim by the self-proclaimed Luhansk People's Republic, which was reported by Russian state media on 5 February, is that it used a Ukrainian Air Force Sukhoi Su-25
CBRN Assessment CBRN Assessment
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CBO releases new triad upgrade estimate
The United States will have to spend USD348 billion on nuclear weapons modernisation over the next 10 years if it wants to maintain a triad of nuclear-capable intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarines, and bomber aircraft, according to a 22 January report from the Congressional Budget
Terrorism & Insurgency Terrorism & Insurgency
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Islamic State's support infrastructure in Turkey raises risk of retaliation targeting Western diplomatic and commercial assets
EVENT A Turkish police intelligence report, leaked on 17 January, claimed that around 3,000 people were in Islamic State sleeper cells present "throughout the country". Although the accuracy of the report's estimate of sleeper numbers is difficult to ascertain, IHS sources have confirmed
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Type 79/85 7.62 mm self-loading sniper rifles
Development The Type 79 self-loading sniper rifle is a direct copy of the Russian SVD Dragunov. A later variant, the Type 85 appears indistinguishable from the earlier Type 79 and the former is thought to have only minor cosmetic component changes to ease production. Description Both models of
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OFB INSAS 5.56 mm assault rifle system
Development The Indian Small-Arms System (INSAS) rifle is one component in a planned family of weapons who would share a similar design base. The other components of the family are a light machine gun (see separate entry) and a carbine/short assault rifle. Developed since the mid-1980s under the
